AMD vs INTC

Which stock is riskier? We ran 5,000 simulations for each using real price history to compare what could happen over the next 12 months.

AMD

High Risk
Details →
Bear
-24.0%
Base
+18.9%
Bull
+86.7%
Loss Prob
37%
Volatility
53.3%

INTC

Very High Risk
Details →
Bear
-35.8%
Base
-4.2%
Bull
+43.9%
Loss Prob
53%
Volatility
47.8%
Detailed Comparison
MetricAMDINTCDiff
Bear Case-24.0%-35.8%+11.8%
Base Case+18.9%-4.2%+23.0%
Bull Case+86.7%+43.9%+42.8%
Loss Probability37%53%-16pp
Volatility53.3%47.8%5.5pp
Expected Return+36.9%+7.7%+29.2%
Data Points1,2521,252
Summary

AMD has lower loss probability (37% vs 53%), making it the less risky choice.

AMD has a higher median expected return (+18.9% vs -4.2%).

INTC has lower volatility (47.8% vs 53.3%), meaning smaller daily price swings.

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AMD vs INTC: Risk Profile Comparison

How do AMD and INTC compare in terms of risk? We ran 5,000 simulations for each stock using real historical price data to map out the range of possible outcomes over the next 12 months.

Based on historical patterns, AMD has a 37% loss probability over 12 months, while INTC sits at 53%. Historically, AMD has shown lower downside risk.

On the return side, AMD has a higher median simulated return (+18.9%) compared to INTC (-4.2%). Lower risk doesn't always correlate with lower returns.

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Important Note

This is a simulation based on historical data, not a prediction. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Disclaimer: Hypothetical simulation based on historical prices. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.