NFLX vs DIS

Which stock is riskier? We ran 5,000 simulations for each using real price history to compare what could happen over the next 12 months.

NFLX

Very High Risk
Details →
Bear
-26.0%
Base
+9.1%
Bull
+54.2%
Loss Prob
42%
Volatility
42.6%

DIS

Very High Risk
Details →
Bear
-30.5%
Base
-11.0%
Bull
+12.4%
Loss Prob
66%
Volatility
29.3%
Detailed Comparison
MetricNFLXDISDiff
Bear Case-26.0%-30.5%+4.5%
Base Case+9.1%-11.0%+20.1%
Bull Case+54.2%+12.4%+41.8%
Loss Probability42%66%-24pp
Volatility42.6%29.3%13.3pp
Expected Return+17.9%-7.7%+25.6%
Data Points1,2521,252
Summary

NFLX has lower loss probability (42% vs 66%), making it the less risky choice.

NFLX has a higher median expected return (+9.1% vs -11.0%).

DIS has lower volatility (29.3% vs 42.6%), meaning smaller daily price swings.

Own NFLX or DIS? Monitor Your Portfolio Risk

Connect your brokerage account to get real-time risk alerts — drawdown warnings, concentration risk, volatility spikes, and more. The same metrics hedge funds use.

No credit card required to start

NFLX vs DIS: Risk Profile Comparison

How do NFLX and DIS compare in terms of risk? We ran 5,000 simulations for each stock using real historical price data to map out the range of possible outcomes over the next 12 months.

Based on historical patterns, NFLX has a 42% loss probability over 12 months, while DIS sits at 66%. Historically, NFLX has shown lower downside risk.

On the return side, NFLX has a higher median simulated return (+9.1%) compared to DIS (-11.0%). Lower risk doesn't always correlate with lower returns.

Want to Track Both in Your Portfolio?

If you own NFLX, DIS, or both, YieldMirror can connect to your brokerage account and monitor your entire portfolio's risk in real-time. Get alerts when things change — drawdowns, concentration risk, volatility spikes.

It's like having a risk manager watching your portfolio 24/7. Start your free 7-day trial →

Important Note

This is a simulation based on historical data, not a prediction. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Disclaimer: Hypothetical simulation based on historical prices. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.