V vs MA

Which stock is riskier? We ran 5,000 simulations for each using real price history to compare what could happen over the next 12 months.

V

High Risk
Details →
Bear
-9.5%
Base
+9.4%
Bull
+31.9%
Loss Prob
35%
Volatility
22.6%

MA

High Risk
Details →
Bear
-10.2%
Base
+10.0%
Bull
+33.9%
Loss Prob
35%
Volatility
24.0%
Detailed Comparison
MetricVMADiff
Bear Case-9.5%-10.2%+0.7%
Base Case+9.4%+10.0%-0.7%
Bull Case+31.9%+33.9%-2.0%
Loss Probability35%35%0pp
Volatility22.6%24.0%-1.3pp
Expected Return+12.2%+12.9%-0.7%
Data Points1,2521,252
Summary

MA has lower loss probability (35% vs 35%), making it the less risky choice.

MA has a higher median expected return (+10.0% vs +9.4%).

V has lower volatility (22.6% vs 24.0%), meaning smaller daily price swings.

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V vs MA: Risk Profile Comparison

How do V and MA compare in terms of risk? We ran 5,000 simulations for each stock using real historical price data to map out the range of possible outcomes over the next 12 months.

Based on historical patterns, V has a 35% loss probability over 12 months, while MA sits at 35%. Historically, MA has shown lower downside risk.

On the return side, MA has a higher median simulated return (+10.0%) compared to V (+9.4%). Lower risk doesn't always correlate with lower returns.

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Important Note

This is a simulation based on historical data, not a prediction. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always do your own research.

Disclaimer: Hypothetical simulation based on historical prices. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.