SPY vs NVDA: Risk Profile Comparison
How do SPY and NVDA compare in terms of risk? We ran 5,000 simulations for each stock using real historical price data to map out the range of possible outcomes over the next 12 months.
Based on historical patterns, SPY has a 23% loss probability over 12 months, while NVDA sits at 16%. Historically, NVDA has shown lower downside risk.
On the return side, NVDA has a higher median simulated return (+69.2%) compared to SPY (+13.3%). Lower risk doesn't always correlate with lower returns.
Want to Track Both in Your Portfolio?
If you own SPY, NVDA, or both, YieldMirror can connect to your brokerage account and monitor your entire portfolio's risk in real-time. Get alerts when things change — drawdowns, concentration risk, volatility spikes.
It's like having a risk manager watching your portfolio 24/7. Start your free 7-day trial →
Important Note
This is a simulation based on historical data, not a prediction. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always do your own research.